Justin Smoak and Socrates: What they have in common.

By: Anthony

Now that the season is over and the Mariners ended up with a respectable 75 wins, we can now start to project the roster for 2013, an awesome exercise in speculation. One of the biggest questions is of course the hole at first base. I talked about this briefly in both my “What the Future Holds” and “Offseason Free Agent Targets” articles but that was before Justin Smoak looked at a calendar. Going back a step or two, I will explain the title of this article.

             

"How dare you compare me to Justin Smoak!"

Socrates is one of the most famous philosophers in history and was executed by the Greeks for corrupting the youth and impiety. Smoak may have corrupted many young people with his horrible hitting and general suckiness but this isn’t ancient Greece, otherwise Chone Figgins would have already had a hemlock smoothie. Socrates was known as a gadfly, a bug that is really annoying and doesn’t like to go away. A gadfly keeps buzzing around and annoying people. That’s why Justin Smoak is like Socrates, he is a gadfly!

Not only is Justin Smoak bad, but he has a great habit of being really good in September and just god awful for the other 7/8ths of a season. Don’t believe me? Think Justin Smoak is more of a dung beetle (Get it, it’s because he is bad)? I give you the data.

September/ October Stats

Year	Average	OPS	Home Runs	Strikeouts/ BB
2010	.340	1.001	3	11/7
2011	.301	.793	3	20/5
2012	.341	1.005	5	13/13

April- August Stats

Year	Average	OPS	Home Runs	Strikeouts/ BB
2010	.198	.624	10	80/39
2011	.220	.704	12	85/50
2012	.190	.575	14	98/36

The numbers do not lie. Justin Smoak either thinks that Spring Training continues through August or he secretly hibernates April through August. Personally I don’t know which is more feasible, I guess I would take hibernation due to his bear-like appearance.

Half-man, Half-Bear, Half-Gadfly

The affect that his September stats have on reporters, bloggers and fans is that he may have figured it out. Either he finally got healthy or he made a swing alteration or something changed and Smoak is finally living up to the talent level that saw him exchanged for Cliff Lee. I am still very dubious about this year. Smoak has shown a pattern in his hitting and until he proves he can hit April through August, I think he is a bust and should not spend too much more time in Seattle.

            There is good news however for Mariner fans and Smoak. He still has another option year! Huzzah! This means that he can be sent down to Tacoma and not have to clear waivers. So, say in some bizarre world Smoak sucks again at the start of next year (I am willing to accept bets that this happens). The M’s can option him down to Tacoma and let him try to figure it out for a while, free from worry that some team would claim him on waivers (I’m sure Jack Z has nightmares about that).

            Something that Smoak has struggled with is his confidence and many people close to the team have said that Smoak is finally feeling comfortable hitting and the results are starting to show. They are also saying the adjustments he made to his swing in the short time in Tacoma are starting to bear fruit. They are also saying his pregame routine of praying to the shrine of Foghorn Leghorn in his locker has been altered to include both Bugs Bunny and Daffy Duck seems to finally be working. Guess what? Some of those things may be true, but it really doesn’t matter. He has shown this before and I will only be convinced he has become a competent Major League player when he hits the ball well from April to August.

            He will benefit from the fences being moved in, like most hitters. And Smoak will get a shot next year at first base, competing with Mike Carp and hopefully Jesus Montero. Carp failed to impress this year, battling injuries most of the year and Montero needs to learn the correct way for a human to run. This year was supposed to be a make or break year for Smoak, but somehow he gets another shot. If this team wants to medal in the AL West next year (a respectable feat these days), Smoak needs to figure out how to hit the ball consistently like he always does in September, or he can just be a gadfly again and annoy people.